Marks Realty Group, Compass

December 2023 Marin County & San Francisco Real Estate Market Reports

For the third sixth straight week, mortgage rates trended down, as new data indicates that inflationary pressures are receding. The combination of continued economic strength, lower inflation and lower mortgage rates should likely bring more potential homebuyers into the market. (Freddie Мас (FHLMC))

Stock and bond markets - which greatly impact household wealth, consumer confidence, and interest rates - were generally characterized by deep pessimism in October, but with significant changes in economic indicators such as inflation, and a continued pause in benchmark rate increases by the Fed, financial markets abruptly shifted to enthusiastic optimism in November. That translated into a dramatic plunge in mortgage rates, which has caused mortgage applications to increase over recent weeks.

Since the homebuying process usually takes 30 to 60 days, from loan qualification and making an offer to a closed sale, sales might see a bounce in December, or - since the midwinter holiday period typically sees the annual low point in new-listing (and thus sales) activity - more likely in early 2024 (subject to these positive trends continuing).
In January 2023, buyer demand saw a substantial rebound due to a similar drop in interest rates in late 2022.

Reach out to Jonathan Marks if you have any questions, I am here to help you.

 

Chart of 30-year mortgage rates from September 1 to December 6, 2023, peaking above 8% in October before declining.

Marin County home price trends chart, 1990–2023, showing median sale prices and the Great Recession and pandemic periods.

Marin County house values per square foot, 2005–2023, with the Great Recession decline and 2022 peak.

Marin County condo price trends chart, showing three-month median sale prices from 2005 through November 2023.

Marin County chart of 12-month rolling new listings and home sales, with trends from 2005 through autumn 2023.

Bar chart compares Marin County home sales by price segment in 2021, 2022, and 2023; sales fell across most segments.

Chart of Marin County new listings from December 2019 to November 2023, with seasonal peaks and November declines.

Bar chart of Marin County active listings, with monthly counts from February 2022 through December 2023.

Chart of Marin County pending listings from 2019 to 2023, with seasonal peaks, pandemic-era changes, and market commentary.

Chart of monthly Marin County home sales from 2019 to November 2023, with seasonal peaks and recent declines.

Chart of monthly Marin County luxury home sales from 2020 to 2023, divided into two price ranges.

Chart of Marin County active-listing price reductions from 2018 to 2023, with autumn peaks and seasonal variation.

Marin County average days on market chart, January 2019–November 2023, showing seasonal patterns and pandemic-era changes.

 

Marin County sales-to-list-price bar chart, January 2018 to November 2023, with a dashed 100% benchmark.

Satellite map of Marin County labeled as a home price map reflecting summer-fall 2023 sales.

Infographic highlighting 2023 home buyer and seller survey findings, including typical buyer ages, home features, and financing.

Compass National Real Estate Insights November 2023 report promotion with a cabin and mountain view.

Economic charts on mortgage rates, consumer sentiment, markets, and inflation alongside a Bay Area real estate factors infographic.

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CLICK HERE TO SEE THE FULL SAN FRANCISCO REPORT

ABOUT THE AUTHOR


Marks Realty Group is more than just a top-producing real estate team in Marin County—we’re your trusted neighbors, friends, and advocates. Known for combining market expertise with a client-first approach, our team is dedicated to helping you buy or sell your home with discretion, respect, and care. We listen like friends and deliver results like seasoned professionals, guiding you through every step of the process and staying by your side long after the deal is done. With Marks Realty Group, you’re not just a client—you’re part of our community.

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You can count on us to help you sell and help you buy, and be there for you every step of the way before and well after your deal is done. So, why us? Because working with us, you are more than a client in a transaction; you become a friend for life.