Marks Realty Group, Compass

October 2023 Marin County Real Estate Market Report

Markets remain volatile and hard to predict, often reacting negatively to positive economic news (such as employment numbers) as they wait for new inflation numbers and try to parse the possible reaction of the Fed. Any definitive impacts on real estate markets of these recent developments, should they continue, won't substantially show up until 04 data begins to become available, and, of course, volatility also means that indicators can turn around quickly.

In the meantime, the Q3 median house sales price was down about 8.5% from Q3 2022, but we expect the year-over-year price decline to disappear in coming months. The supply of listings for sale just hit a YTD high - giving buyers more purchase options - though still below this time last year. Year over year, the number of home sales in Q3 was down about 17%, mostly due to the low supply of homes available to buy, though also affected by interest rates. Luxury home sales have dropped from spring peaks, as is a common seasonal trend.

As always, reach out to our team if you have any questions, we're here to help.

Bar chart of Marin County quarterly median house prices, peaking at $2 million in Q2 2022 before declining.

Bar chart of Marin County average home values per square foot by quarter, peaking at $1,084 in Q2 2022.

Marin County October 2023 market table comparing housing statistics by price range and property type.

Table comparing quality of life, income, education, population, and other statistics across Bay Area counties and the U.S.

Marin County Census Snapshots infographic with housing, income, employment, education, birthplace, and language statistics.

Bar chart of quarterly median house prices in Novato, San Rafael, and San Anselmo, Q3 2020 to Q3 2023.

Bar chart comparing quarterly median home prices in Corte Madera, Mill Valley, and Tiburon from 2020 to 2023.

Chart comparing Q3 2023 median three-bedroom house prices by Bay Area county, from $555,000 in Solano to $2,075,000 in South Marin.

Chart of Marin luxury home sales by community and price range, with Mill Valley and Tiburon leading.

Table ranking 2023 year-to-date highest home sales across selected Bay Area markets, led by Woodside at $44.5 million.

Bar chart of Marin County new listings, showing monthly seasonal fluctuations from December 2019 to September 2023.

Chart of Marin County active and coming-soon listings, showing 428 in October 2023 and a 2023 peak.

Line chart of Marin County pending listings, January 2019–September 2023, with September values highlighted.

Bar chart of Marin County active-listing price reductions from 2018 to September 2023, with peaks labeled by month and year.

Marin County monthly home sales chart, 2019–2023, with green bars and a marked peak in June 2021.

Chart of Marin County luxury home sales by month, with separate bars for $4–$6.5 million and $6.5 million-plus homes.

Bay Area luxury home sales chart by county, comparing sales from $5–9.999 million with sales of $10 million or more.

Chart of U.S. 30-year mortgage rates, peaking in 1981 before rising sharply in 2022–2023.

Economic charts on mortgage rates, consumer sentiment, markets, and inflation alongside a Bay Area real estate factors infographic.

 

 

 

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR


Marks Realty Group is more than just a top-producing real estate team in Marin County—we’re your trusted neighbors, friends, and advocates. Known for combining market expertise with a client-first approach, our team is dedicated to helping you buy or sell your home with discretion, respect, and care. We listen like friends and deliver results like seasoned professionals, guiding you through every step of the process and staying by your side long after the deal is done. With Marks Realty Group, you’re not just a client—you’re part of our community.

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You can count on us to help you sell and help you buy, and be there for you every step of the way before and well after your deal is done. So, why us? Because working with us, you are more than a client in a transaction; you become a friend for life.